Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.66% and a win for Etar had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%) , while for a Etar win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.