Club Friendlies 3
Jan 16, 2026 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Bruno-Plache-Stadion

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Fortuna Koln - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotive Leipzig

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 2.00pm
Loko. Leipzig 3 - 1 Oberhausen

Fortuna Koln

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 2.30pm
Fortuna Koln 3 - 3 Chemnitzer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotive Leipzig win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Fortuna Koln had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotive Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Fortuna Koln win was 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Lokomotive Leipzig 44.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Fortuna Koln 29.53% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 27.87% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 47.52% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 52.48% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 26.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.76% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Lokomotive Leipzig 28.18% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 50.43% ▼ (-0.25)
Fortuna Koln 21.4% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Lokomotive Leipzig 52.3% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 8.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Fortuna Koln 39.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 41.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 36.57%
Equal 9 10.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 52.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 27.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.84% ▼ (-0.01)

Lokomotive Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 41.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.23% ▼ (-0.04)

Fortuna Koln Goals

Over 0.5 62.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 37.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 28.98% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 71.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 10.8% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 89.2% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.77% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Lokomotive Leipzig 44.22%
Draw 26.24%
Fortuna Koln 29.52%
Lokomotive Leipzig
1-0 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 44.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.24%
Fortuna Koln
0-1 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 29.52%