Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotive Leipzig win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.88% and a win for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotive Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%) , while for a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.