Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes vs Merida AD - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 6.00pm
Leganes 2 - 1 Al-Rayyan

Merida AD

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica B 4 - 0 Merida

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leganes win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw has a probability of 29.79% and a win for Merida AD has a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.08%) , while for a Merida AD win it is 0-1 (7.83%).

Result

Leganes 46.28% (+4.26)
Draw 29.79% (-0.82)
Merida AD 23.98% (-3.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.72% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.46% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 30.54% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 43.87% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 56.13% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 23.51% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 76.49% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 12.83% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 87.17% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Leganes 31.82% (+1.56)
Draw 47.75% (+0.18)
Merida AD 20.42% (-1.75)

Team To Score First

Leganes 53.68% (+2.78)
No Goal 10.59% (-0.45)
Merida AD 35.73% (-2.33)

Corners

Over 8 58.35% (+0.47)
Equal 8 11.77% (-0.23)
Under 8 29.88% (-0.25)
Over 9 46.28% (+0.67)
Equal 9 12.07% (-0.19)
Under 9 41.65% (-0.47)
Over 10.5 34.98% (+0.78)
Under 10.5 65.02% (-0.79)

Leganes Goals

Over 1.5 41.66% (+2.63)
Under 1.5 58.34% (-2.63)
Over 2.5 17.56% (+1.74)
Under 2.5 82.44% (-1.75)
Over 3.5 6.09% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 93.91% (-0.57)

Merida AD Goals

Over 0.5 58.82% (-2.68)
Under 0.5 41.18% (+2.68)
Over 1.5 24.73% (-2.76)
Under 1.5 75.27% (+2.76)
Over 2.5 7.6% (-1.66)
Under 2.5 92.4% (+1.66)
Over 3.5 2.1% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 97.9% (+0.63)

Score analysis

Leganes 46.29%
Draw 29.79%
Merida AD 23.98%
Leganes
1-0 @ 12.18% (+1.13)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.48)
2-0 @ 8.63% (+0.87)
3-1 @ 4.01% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 4% (+0.65)
3-2 @ 2.46% (+0.26)
Other @ 5.84% (+0.59)
Total : 46.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.45)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.03)
Total : 29.79%
Merida AD
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.61)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.66)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.52)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.24)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.39)
Other @ 1.85% (-0.61)
Total : 23.98%