Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2026 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque
  • Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed 27' goal
  • 27' yellowcard
  • Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed 32' goal
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Zico Buurmeester 89' goal
  • yellowcard 27'

Leganes vs Merida AD - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 6.00pm
Leganes 2 - 1 Al-Rayyan

Merida AD

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica B 4 - 0 Merida

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.85% and a win for Merida AD had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Merida AD win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Leganes 46.61% (+0.33)
Draw 29.85% (+0.07)
Merida AD 23.54% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.61% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.31% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 30.69% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 43.71% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 56.29% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 23.4% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 76.6% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 12.77% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 87.23% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Leganes 31.65% (-0.18)
Draw 48.19% (+0.44)
Merida AD 20.16% (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Leganes 53.72% (+0.04)
No Goal 10.65% (+0.07)
Merida AD 35.63% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 58.88% (+0.54)
Equal 8 11.79% (+0.02)
Under 8 29.33% (-0.56)
Over 9 46.74% (+0.47)
Equal 9 12.14% (+0.08)
Under 9 41.12% (-0.54)
Over 10.5 35.32% (+0.35)
Under 10.5 64.68% (-0.34)

Leganes Goals

Over 1.5 41.83% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 58.17% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 17.7% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 82.3% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 6.15% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 93.85% (-0.07)

Merida AD Goals

Over 0.5 58.45% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 41.55% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 24.33% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 75.67% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 7.36% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 92.64% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 2.03% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 97.97% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Leganes 46.62%
Draw 29.85%
Merida AD 23.55%
Leganes
1-0 @ 12.27% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.7% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.05% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.04% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.9% (+0.07)
Total : 46.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.65% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 29.85%
Merida AD
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.78% (-0.08)
Total : 23.55%