Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaspiy win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaspiy win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.09%). The likeliest Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-2 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.