Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Suduva win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.78% and a win for FC Daugavpils had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Suduva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a FC Daugavpils win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.