Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Suduva win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.31% and a win for Wigry Suwałki had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Suduva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Wigry Suwałki win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.