Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egersund win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egersund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.