Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for UNA had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest UNA win was 1-2 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.