Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Klagenfurt win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Kapfenberg had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Austria Klagenfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Kapfenberg win was 0-1 (9.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.