Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kapfenberg win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Lafnitz had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kapfenberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Lafnitz win was 1-2 (5.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.