Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kapfenberg win with a probability of 55.98%. A win for Weiz had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kapfenberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.73%) and 1-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Weiz win was 1-2 (5.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.