Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Floridsdorfer win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.92% and a win for Kapfenberg had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Floridsdorfer win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Kapfenberg win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.