Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arendal win with a probability of 62.44%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 19.58% and a draw had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arendal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Jerv win was 1-2 (4.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.