Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moss win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Arendal had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moss win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Arendal win was 1-2 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.