Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notodden win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notodden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Jerv win was 1-2 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.