Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jerv win with a probability of 68.19%. A win for Våg had a probability of 17.96% and a draw had a probability of 13.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jerv win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.88%) and 3-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Våg win was 2-3 (3.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.