Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pors Grenland win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pors Grenland win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 2-0 (4.94%). The likeliest Jerv win was 1-2 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.