Fortaleza
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Retro

Lopes (57')
Fernandez (41'), Britez (90+5'), Teixeira Lopes da Conceicao (90+4')
FT
(aet)
Mike (65')
Mike (42'), Rodrigues Ribeiro (61'), Ambrosio Mendonca (78')
Retro win 4-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Fortaleza and Retro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 3-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, May 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Retro 1-1 Fortaleza
Tuesday, April 29 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Retro had a probability of 10.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.31%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Retro win it was 0-1 (4.45%).

Result
FortalezaDrawRetro
70.18% (0.43300000000001 0.43)19.35% (-0.142 -0.14)10.47% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 40.4% (-0.537 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (-0.165 -0.16)50.69% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (-0.147 -0.15)72.59% (0.151 0.15)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (0.081000000000003 0.08)13.28% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.91% (0.156 0.16)40.09% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)
Retro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.59% (-0.662 -0.66)53.41% (0.666 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.09% (-0.418 -0.42)86.91% (0.422 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 70.17%
    Retro 10.47%
    Draw 19.35%
FortalezaDrawRetro
2-0 @ 14.45% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 14.31% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.73% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.91% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 70.17%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.84% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.35%
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.47%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2025 11pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Retro
1-1
Fortaleza
Franco (33')
Salomao Miguel (22'), Rodrigues Ribeiro (83')
Martin Lucero (88')
Pacheco (38'), Luiz (43'), Pikachu (83'), Martinez (90')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!