Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Retro had a probability of 10.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.31%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Retro win it was 0-1 (4.45%).