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Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 32
Jul 12, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Hellas Verona logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Hellas Verona

Cutrone (90+6')
Pulgar (28'), Julio (51'), Milenkovic (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Faraoni (18')
Stepinski (88'), Faraoni (90+8')

Preview: Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Hellas Verona, including team news and predicted lineups.

Hellas Verona will endeavour to keep their slim hopes of Europa League qualification alive when they travel to Fiorentina in Sunday's Serie A clash.

In contrast, Fiorentina are eight points above the dotted line after 31 matches and still have work to do to secure their safety in the Italian top flight.


Match preview

Fiorentina's Riccardo Sottil in action with Napoli's Lorenzo Insigne in Serie A on August 24, 2019© Reuters

A mid-table clash between Fiorentina and Cagliari had all the makings of a mediocre affair with little at stake for both sides, and the fixture was one of the less surprising goalless stalemates of the season.

There were chances at both ends of the pitch but neither Fiorentina or Cagliari could make the breakthrough in the end, and the former have only one win to show from their five outings since the restart.

The result means that Fiorentina occupy 13th spot in the table with 35 points thus far, and La Viola have not cemented their status as a Serie A club just yet.

Indeed, Giuseppe Iachini's men have a margin of eight points separating them from the drop zone, and Fiorentina cannot move any higher up the table with a win courtesy of Parma's four-point lead over La Viola.

Fiorentina's recent home form suggests that the odds are stacked against them for the visit of Verona; Iachini's side are winless in six on familiar territory and have only triumphed once at home since the turn of the year, and even then they were made to work for a 1-0 victory against basement side SPAL.

Marash Kumbulla pictured for Hellas Verona in February 2020© Reuters

Following on from a 2-0 defeat against relegation candidates Brescia last weekend, Hellas Verona fans would not have been expecting miracles from their side when Champions League-chasing Inter Milan paid a visit to the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi.

Despite the gulf in class, Ivan Juric's men gave the Serie A giants a terrific run for their money and managed to hold Inter to a 2-2 draw on Thursday evening, with Miguel Veloso the hero of the night for Verona following his 86th-minute equaliser.

Verona are now level on points with eighth-placed Sassuolo and six behind seventh-placed AC Milan, so the European dream is still well and truly alive for Gli Scaligeri with seven games left to play.

However, the outside European contenders have only managed to piece together three wins from their last 11 in the Italian top flight and must contend with an unrelenting fixture schedule for the next few weeks.

Juric's side still have Atalanta, Roma and Lazio left to play before the 2019-20 campaign concludes, and Verona are currently on a seven-game winless streak away from home in Serie A.

Nevertheless, Samuel Di Carmine's second-half strike was enough to give Verona a 1-0 victory over Fiorentina earlier in the campaign.

Fiorentina Serie A form: DDLLWL

Hellas Verona Serie A form: WLDWLD


Team News

Fiorentina winger Federico Chiesa pictured in December 2019© Reuters

Fiorentina will be without the services of Sassuolo loanee Alfred Duncan after the midfielder picked up his fifth booking of the season against Cagliari, but defender German Pezzella returns from a suspension of his own.

Erick Pulgar is therefore expected to come back into the fold, and while the highly-rated Federico Chiesa was hauled off at half-time last time out, the Italian should feature in the starting lineup again here.

Christian Kouame finally made his first appearance for La Viola off the bench following his injury-plagued season, and the 22-year-old's emergence should lead to healthy competition up top between himself, Patrick Cutrone and Dusan Vlahovic.

Verona have a plethora of injuries to contend with as Pawel Dawidowicz, Fabio Borini, Valentin Eysseric, Andrea Danzi and Salvatore Bocchetti are all not expected to feature.

Federico Dimarco's performance against Inter was particularly eventful - the 22-year-old bagged an assist, picked up a booking and scored an own goal before being hauled off in midweek.

Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Dragowski; Milenkovic, Ceccherini, Pezzella; Lirola, Badelj, Pulgar, Dalbert; Chiesa, Cutrone, Ribery

Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Silvestri; Rrahmani, Gunter, Kumbulla; Faraoni, Veloso, Amrabat, Lazovic; Pessina; Di Carmine, Stepinski


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Fiorentina 1-1 Hellas Verona

While Fiorentina's home form is nothing to write home about, Verona's record on their travels also leaves a lot to be desired. As a result, we are expecting the two sides to play out their second draws in succession on Sunday.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.


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Napoli defender Kalidou Koulibaly pictured in October 2019
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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