Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.01% and a win for FCSB had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%) , while for a FCSB win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.