Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.