Taca de Portugal
Oct 17, 2026 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ivanilson Magalhães 79' goal
  • 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Moustier 65'
  • yellowcard Tom Moustier 78'
  • goal Tom Moustier 85'

Fazendense vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fazendense

All competitions

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.86% and a win for Fazendense had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%) , while for a Fazendense win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Fazendense 22.51% ▼ (-1.09)
Draw 23.86% ▲ (+0.26)
Estrela Amadora 53.62% ▲ (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.88% ▼ (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.89% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 1.5 20.11% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 2.5 58.1% ▼ (-2.00)
Under 2.5 41.9% ▲ (+2.00)
Over 3.5 36.54% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 3.5 63.46% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 4.5 23.28% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 76.72% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Fazendense 20.92% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 40.91% ▼ (-0.48)
Estrela Amadora 38.17% ▲ (+0.61)

Team To Score First

Fazendense 39.15% ▲ (+0.37)
No Goal 5.77% ▲ (+0.19)
Estrela Amadora 55.08% ▼ (-0.57)

Corners

Over 8 52.8% ▲ (+1.83)
Equal 8 11.11% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 8 36.09% ▼ (-2.28)
Over 9 41.89% ▲ (+1.28)
Equal 9 10.91% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 9 47.2% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 10.5 32% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 10.5 68% ▼ (-0.71)

Fazendense Goals

Over 1.5 28.21% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 1.5 71.79% ▲ (+1.66)
Over 2.5 10.3% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 2.5 89.7% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 3.96% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 96.04% ▲ (+0.16)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 80.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 53.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 46.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 28.53% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 71.47% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 12.77% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 3.5 87.23% ▼ (-0.46)

Score analysis

Fazendense 22.52%
Draw 23.85%
Estrela Amadora 53.62%
Fazendense
2-1 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.61)
1-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.46)
Other @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 22.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.88% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 23.85%
Estrela Amadora
1-2 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.23)
0-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.62)
0-2 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.50)
1-3 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.39)
Total : 53.62%