Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Petrolul 52 had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Petrolul 52 win was 0-1 (11.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.