FA Trophy
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
Moatside Stadium

Merstham vs Ashford Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merstham

All competitions

Ashford Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merstham win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Ashford Town has a probability of 37.06% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Ashford Town win is 1-2 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.81%).

Result

Merstham 40.14% (-0.05)
Draw 22.8% (+0.02)
Ashford Town 37.06% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.12% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.75% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.25% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 61.53% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 38.42% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 41.32% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 58.68% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 27.08% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 72.92% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Merstham 31.29% (+0.02)
Draw 41.92%
Ashford Town 26.79% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Merstham 50.94% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.3% (+0.01)
Ashford Town 43.76% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.3% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.93% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.77% (+0.09)
Over 9 49.87% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.43% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.7% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 38.89% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 61.11% (+0.08)

Merstham Goals

Over 1.5 44.78% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.22% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 10.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.4% (+0.03)

Ashford Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.49% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 30.51% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 41.73% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.27% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.96%
Under 2.5 80.04%
Over 3.5 8.36%
Under 3.5 91.64%

Score analysis

Merstham 40.15%
Draw 22.8%
Ashford Town 37.05%
Merstham
2-1 @ 7.15%
1-0 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14%
Other @ 10.33% (-0.02)
Total : 40.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.81%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.8%
Ashford Town
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.67%
Other @ 8.09%
Total : 37.05%