FA Trophy
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
Moatside Stadium

Merstham vs Ashford Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merstham

All competitions

Ashford Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merstham win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Ashford Town has a probability of 34.54% and a draw has a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Ashford Town win is 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.4%).

Result

Merstham 43.58% ▲ (+3.44)
Draw 21.89% ▼ (-0.92)
Ashford Town 34.54% ▼ (-2.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.49% ▲ (+1.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.13% ▲ (+1.38)
Under 1.5 16.87% ▼ (-1.38)
Over 2.5 63.62% ▲ (+2.09)
Under 2.5 36.38% ▼ (-2.04)
Over 3.5 43.11% ▲ (+1.79)
Under 3.5 56.89% ▼ (-1.79)
Over 4.5 28.52% ▲ (+1.45)
Under 4.5 71.48% ▼ (-1.44)

First Half Winner

Merstham 33.22% ▲ (+1.93)
Draw 39.85% ▼ (-2.08)
Ashford Town 26.93% ▲ (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Merstham 52.68% ▲ (+1.75)
No Goal 4.6% ▼ (-0.71)
Ashford Town 42.72% ▼ (-1.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.58% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.85% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 27.56% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 50.2% ▲ (+0.34)
Equal 9 11.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 38.42% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 39.21% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 10.5 60.79% ▼ (-0.33)

Merstham Goals

Over 1.5 48.37% ▲ (+3.59)
Under 1.5 51.63% ▼ (-3.59)
Over 2.5 25.92% ▲ (+2.89)
Under 2.5 74.08% ▼ (-2.88)
Over 3.5 12.23% ▲ (+1.64)
Under 3.5 87.77% ▼ (-1.64)

Ashford Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.96% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 0.5 32.04% ▲ (+1.53)
Over 1.5 40.22% ▼ (-1.51)
Under 1.5 59.78% ▲ (+1.51)
Over 2.5 19.09% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 2.5 80.91% ▲ (+0.87)
Over 3.5 8.02% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 91.98% ▲ (+0.35)

Score analysis

Merstham 43.58%
Draw 21.9%
Ashford Town 34.53%
Merstham
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.48)
1-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.51)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.43)
Other @ 11.92% ▲ (+1.59)
Total : 43.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.71)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 21.9%
Ashford Town
1-2 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.31)
0-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.60)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.60)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.30)
Other @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.38)
Total : 34.53%