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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Westwood Road

St Ives Town
5 - 0
Berkhamsted

Collard (85'), Edwards (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between St Ives Town and Berkhamsted.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Ives Town

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Last Game: St Ives Town 5-2 Harpenden Town
Monday, September 2 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Berkhamsted

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Last Game: Hitchin Town 0-2 Berkhamsted
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Ives Town win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Berkhamsted had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Ives Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.29%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Berkhamsted win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Ives Town would win this match.

Result
St Ives TownDrawBerkhamsted
51.31% (-0.123 -0.12)21.21% (0.032 0.03)27.47% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 67.43% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.77% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)31.22% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.35% (-0.114 -0.11)52.65% (0.11 0.11)
St Ives Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)12.62% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25% (-0.143 -0.14)38.75% (0.14 0.14)
Berkhamsted Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.82% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)56.53% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Ives Town 51.31%
    Berkhamsted 27.47%
    Draw 21.21%
St Ives TownDrawBerkhamsted
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.17%
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.007 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 8.81% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 27.47%

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