Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 57%. A win for Paulton Rovers had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Paulton Rovers win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.