FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Gigg Lane

Bury vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bury

All competitions

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bury win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Harrogate Town has a probability of 30.09% and a draw has a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bury win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win is 1-2 (6.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.79%).

Result

Bury 49.51% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 20.4% ▼ (-0.67)
Harrogate Town 30.09% ▲ (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.72% ▲ (+0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.92% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 17.08% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 2.5 62.77% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 37.23% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 42.22% ▲ (+1.19)
Under 3.5 57.78% ▼ (-1.19)
Over 4.5 27.34% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 4.5 72.66% ▼ (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Bury 37.76% ▼ (-0.58)
Draw 36.69% ▲ (+0.56)
Harrogate Town 25.55% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bury 50.02% ▼ (-0.40)
No Goal 3.98% ▼ (-0.35)
Harrogate Town 46% ▲ (+0.75)

Corners

Over 8 57.94% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 8 11.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 31.05% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 46.71% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 42.06% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 10.5 36.16% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 10.5 63.84% ▲ (+0.16)

Bury Goals

Over 1.5 52.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 47.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 29.24% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 70.76% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 13.84% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 3.5 86.16% ▼ (-0.47)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.42% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 64.58% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 2.5 15.99% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 84.01% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 5.6% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 94.4% ▼ (-0.29)

Score analysis

Bury 49.51%
Draw 20.4%
Harrogate Town 30.09%
Bury
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.48)
1-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 13.51% ▲ (+0.44)
Total : 49.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.52)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.35)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 20.4%
Harrogate Town
1-2 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.17)
0-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 30.09%