FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 2
FT Gigg Lane
  • 38' goal
  • Kai Evans 39' goal
  • Kai Evans 45'+3' goal
  • 45'+4' goal
  • 59' goal
  • Mo Touray 59' goal
  • 64' goal
  • Mo Touray 64' goal
  • 83' goal
  • Rustam Stepans 84' goal
  • goal 17'
  • goal Joe Grayson 17'

Bury vs Workington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bury

All competitions

Workington

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bury win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.22% and a win for Workington had a probability of 10.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bury win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%) , while for a Workington win it was 1-2 (2.55%).

Result

Bury 76.37%
Draw 13.22%
Workington 10.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 87.63%
Under 1.5 12.37%
Over 2.5 71.93%
Under 2.5 28.07%
Over 3.5 50.76%
Under 3.5 49.24%
Over 4.5 39.33%
Under 4.5 60.67%

First Half Winner

Bury 61.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 26.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Workington 12.01%

Team To Score First

Bury 75.81%
No Goal 2.75%
Workington 21.44%

Corners

Over 8 66.14%
Equal 8 10.92%
Under 8 22.95%
Over 9 54.16%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 33.86%
Over 10.5 42.24%
Under 10.5 57.76%

Bury Goals

Over 1.5 75.36%
Under 1.5 24.64%
Over 2.5 53.36%
Under 2.5 46.64%
Over 3.5 32.31%
Under 3.5 67.69%

Workington Goals

Over 0.5 38.91%
Under 0.5 61.09%
Over 1.5 16.03%
Under 1.5 83.97%
Over 2.5 5.54%
Under 2.5 94.46%
Over 3.5 1.7%
Under 3.5 98.3%

Score analysis

Bury 76.37%
Draw 13.23%
Workington 10.37%
Bury
3-0 @ 10.13%
2-0 @ 8.89%
2-1 @ 8.16%
1-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 6.72%
3-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 32.07%
Total : 76.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.63%
2-2 @ 3.59%
0-0 @ 2.75%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.23%
Workington
1-2 @ 2.55%
0-1 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-2 @ 1.17%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.37%