FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Gigg Lane

Bury vs Workington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bury

All competitions

Workington

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bury win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw has a probability of 13.22% and a win for Workington has a probability of 10.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bury win is 3-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.63%) , while for a Workington win it is 1-2 (2.55%).

Result

Bury 76.37% (-1.18)
Draw 13.22% (+0.25)
Workington 10.36% (+0.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7% (+0.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.63% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 12.37% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 71.93% (+1.83)
Under 2.5 28.07% (-1.83)
Over 3.5 50.76% (+2.19)
Under 3.5 49.24% (-2.19)
Over 4.5 39.33% (+2.08)
Under 4.5 60.67% (-2.08)

First Half Winner

Bury 61.3% (-0.47)
Draw 26.68% (+0.15)
Workington 12.01% (+0.32)

Team To Score First

Bury 75.81% (-0.75)
No Goal 2.75% (-0.07)
Workington 21.44% (+0.82)

Corners

Over 8 66.14% (+0.44)
Equal 8 10.92% (+0.16)
Under 8 22.95% (-0.58)
Over 9 54.16% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.97% (+0.25)
Under 9 33.86% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 42.24% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 57.76% (+0.09)

Bury Goals

Over 1.5 75.36% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 24.64% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 53.36% (+1.59)
Under 2.5 46.64% (-1.59)
Over 3.5 32.31% (+1.39)
Under 3.5 67.69% (-1.38)

Workington Goals

Over 0.5 38.91% (+0.79)
Under 0.5 61.09% (-0.79)
Over 1.5 16.03% (+1.31)
Under 1.5 83.97% (-1.30)
Over 2.5 5.54% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 94.46% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 1.7% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 98.3% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Bury 76.37%
Draw 13.23%
Workington 10.37%
Bury
3-0 @ 10.13% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-1.64)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.42)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.37)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.18% (+0.16)
Other @ 32.07% (+1.29)
Total : 76.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.63% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.59% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 2.75% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.24% (+0.10)
Total : 13.23%
Workington
1-2 @ 2.55% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 2.37% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.17% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.46% (+0.19)
Total : 10.37%