Netherlands vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.84%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.