Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.