Conference League
Jul 30, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
ET Astana Arena
  • Maksim Myakish 31' yellowcard
  • Amine Talal 45'+3' goal
  • Luis Guerra 90' yellowcard
  • goal Nauris Petkevičius 33'
  • yellowcard Matas Ramanauskas 34'
  • yellowcard Valdas Paulauskas 52'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Asamoah 57'
  • yellowcard Toni Korkeakunnas 84'
  • yellowcard Miano van den Bos 118'

Tobol vs Panevezys - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tobol

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 4.30pm
Panevezys 1 - 1 Tobol

Panevezys

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 4.30pm
Panevezys 1 - 1 Tobol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Tobol 46.11% (+0.01)
Draw 24.08% (-0.04)
Panevezys 29.82% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.44% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.06% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.94% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 56.77% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 43.23% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 33.76% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 66.23% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 19.87% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 80.13% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Tobol 36.57%
Draw 40.19% (-0.04)
Panevezys 23.24% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Tobol 55.22% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.6% (-0.04)
Panevezys 39.18%

Corners

Over 8 57.18% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.08%
Under 8 31.74% (+0.03)
Over 9 45.98% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 42.82% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 35.55% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 64.45% (+0.02)

Tobol Goals

Over 1.5 47.55% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.45% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.14% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 77.86% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.57% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.43% (-0.04)

Panevezys Goals

Over 0.5 65.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.04% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.8% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.2% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.59% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 86.41% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.52% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.48% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Tobol 46.11%
Draw 24.07%
Panevezys 29.81%
Tobol
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.34% (+0.04)
Total : 46.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.07%
Panevezys
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 4.29% (+0.05)
Total : 29.81%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas
  • Valdas Paulauskas 22' yellowcard
  • 22' yellowcard
  • Seydine Keita 45' goal
  • Seydine Keita 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Asamoah 58' yellowcard
  • Parfait Bizoza 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Guerra 35'
  • goal Nemanja Cavnic 84'
  • yellowcard Uros Milovanović 86'