Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panevezys win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.54% and a win for Tukums had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panevezys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%) , while for a Tukums win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.