Conference League
Aug 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Batumi Stadium (Adjarabet Arena)
  • Dor Peretz  69' goal
  • Mohamed Camara 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonios Papadopoulos 27'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zanotti 36'
  • redcard Mattia Zanotti 58'
  • yellowcard Renato Steffen 68'
  • goal Dereck Moncada 79'
  • yellowcard Uran Bislimi 90'+2'

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
Lugano 2 - 1 M. Tel Aviv

Lugano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
Lugano 2 - 1 M. Tel Aviv

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Maccabi Tel Aviv 31.17% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 23.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Lugano 45.5% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 18.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 60.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 39.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 37.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.88% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Maccabi Tel Aviv 26.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 37.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Lugano 35.97% ▼ (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Maccabi Tel Aviv 40.87% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.06%
Lugano 54.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 35.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 42.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 47.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 32.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 67.75% ▼ (-0.02)

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 1.5 36.94% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 63.06% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 15.98% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 84.02% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 5.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.52% ▼ (-0.05)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 77.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 22.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 48.94% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 51.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 24.17% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 75.83% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 9.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.05% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv 31.18%
Draw 23.33%
Lugano 45.49%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 31.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.33%
Lugano
1-2 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 45.49%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Kevin Behrens 30' goal
  • Anto Grgic 54' goal
  • goal Ido Shahar 47'