Conference League
Aug 27, 2026 5.00pm
Batumi Stadium (Adjarabet Arena)

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
Lugano 2 - 1 M. Tel Aviv

Lugano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
Lugano 2 - 1 M. Tel Aviv

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv has a probability of 31.07% and a draw has a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win is 2-1 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.87%).

Result

Maccabi Tel Aviv 31.07%
Draw 23.31% (-0.05)
Lugano 45.64% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.23% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 81% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.45%
Under 2.5 39.51% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.83% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.17% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.12% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.88% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Maccabi Tel Aviv 26.24%
Draw 37.71%
Lugano 36.05%

Team To Score First

Maccabi Tel Aviv 40.84% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.06% (-0.03)
Lugano 54.1% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.96%
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 35.97%
Over 9 42.09%
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 47.04%
Over 10.5 32.22%
Under 10.5 67.78%

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 1.5 36.83% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.17% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.89% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.45%
Under 3.5 94.55%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 77.2% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.8% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 49.02% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.98% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.22% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.78% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.97%
Under 3.5 90.03%

Score analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv 31.07%
Draw 23.31%
Lugano 45.64%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.06% (+0.01)
Total : 31.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39% (-0.02)
Total : 23.31%
Lugano
1-2 @ 9.17%
0-1 @ 7.82% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 5.05%
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.58% (+0.01)
Total : 45.64%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Kevin Behrens 30' goal
  • Anto Grgic 54' goal
  • goal Ido Shahar 47'