Conference League
Jul 29, 2026 3.30pm
Stadiumi 18 Qershori

Dukagjini vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dukagjini

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 7.30pm
Lugano 1 - 0 Dukagjini

Lugano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 7.30pm
Lugano 1 - 0 Dukagjini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw has a probability of 21.72% and a win for Dukagjini has a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.41%) , while for a Dukagjini win it is 1-0 (5.78%).

Result

Dukagjini 19.55% (-0.13)
Draw 21.72% (-0.11)
Lugano 58.79% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.21% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.32% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 22.68% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 53.99% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 45.97% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 32.3% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 67.7% (-0.43)
Over 4.5 20.43% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 79.57% (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Dukagjini 15.44%
Draw 41.37% (+0.02)
Lugano 43.2% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Dukagjini 28.84% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.21% (-0.09)
Lugano 64.95% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 49.73% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.78% (+0.01)
Under 8 38.49% (+0.07)
Over 9 38.45% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.28% (+0.01)
Under 9 50.27% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 28.51% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 71.49% (+0.08)

Dukagjini Goals

Over 1.5 21.94% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 78.06% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 6.3% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 93.7% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.82% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.18% (-0.03)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 82.31% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 17.69% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 54.5% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 45.5% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 29.4% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 70.6% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 13.53% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 86.47% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Dukagjini 19.56%
Draw 21.73%
Lugano 58.8%
Dukagjini
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.81% (+0.04)
Total : 19.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.73%
Lugano
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 9.78%
1-2 @ 9.52% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 6.28% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.87% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 13.52% (+0.24)
Total : 58.8%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Mattia Zanotti 21' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 31' goal
  • Kevin Behrens 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elton Basri  49'
  • yellowcard Granit Elezaj 80'
  • redcard Arvanit Rexhaj 88'