Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano vs Dukagjini - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Dukagjini

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw has a probability of 17.32% and a win for Dukagjini has a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.85%) and 3-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.68%) , while for a Dukagjini win it is 1-2 (4.34%).

Result

Lugano 69.37% (-0.05)
Draw 17.32% (+0.04)
Dukagjini 13.31% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.29% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.19% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 16.81% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 64.33%
Under 2.5 35.67%
Over 3.5 39.52% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 60.48% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 28.39% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 71.61% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Lugano 49.9%
Draw 37.66% (+0.01)
Dukagjini 12.44% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Lugano 72.48% (+0.04)
No Goal 5% (+0.01)
Dukagjini 22.52% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 49.89% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 38.33% (+0.05)
Over 9 38.62% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 50.11% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 28.71% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.29% (+0.05)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 66.54% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.46% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 41.6% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58.4% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.93% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 78.07% (+0.01)

Dukagjini Goals

Over 0.5 45.48% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 54.52% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 18.08%
Under 1.5 81.92%
Over 2.5 5.33%
Under 2.5 94.67%
Over 3.5 1.19%
Under 3.5 98.81%

Score analysis

Lugano 69.37%
Draw 17.31%
Dukagjini 13.3%
Lugano
2-1 @ 10.14%
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 9.11% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.65% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.44% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 21.89% (-0.01)
Total : 69.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.68% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 17.31%
Dukagjini
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.3%