Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Mattia Zanotti 21' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 31' goal
  • Kevin Behrens 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elton Basri  49'
  • yellowcard Granit Elezaj 80'
  • redcard Arvanit Rexhaj 88'

Lugano vs Dukagjini - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Dukagjini

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.32% and a win for Dukagjini had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 3-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%) , while for a Dukagjini win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Lugano 69.37%
Draw 17.32%
Dukagjini 13.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.19%
Under 1.5 16.81%
Over 2.5 64.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 35.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39.52%
Under 3.5 60.48%
Over 4.5 28.4% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 71.6% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Lugano 49.8% (-0.11)
Draw 37.72% (+0.07)
Dukagjini 12.47% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Lugano 72.5% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.99% (-0.01)
Dukagjini 22.51% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.86% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.78% (-0.01)
Under 8 38.36% (+0.04)
Over 9 38.61% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.01)
Under 9 50.14% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 28.7% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71.3% (+0.01)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 66.54%
Under 1.5 33.46%
Over 2.5 41.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 58.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.94% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 78.06% (-0.01)

Dukagjini Goals

Over 0.5 45.48%
Under 0.5 54.52%
Over 1.5 18.11% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 81.89% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.32% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.68% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.19%
Under 3.5 98.81%

Score analysis

Lugano 69.37%
Draw 17.31%
Dukagjini 13.3%
Lugano
2-1 @ 10.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 9.14% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 21.9% (+0.01)
Total : 69.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.67% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.78% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 17.31%
Dukagjini
1-2 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.14%
0-2 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.3%