Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Kevin Behrens 30' goal
  • Anto Grgic 54' goal
  • goal Ido Shahar 47'

Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Lugano 47.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 24.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Maccabi Tel Aviv 27.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 39.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 37.72%
Under 3.5 62.28%
Over 4.5 23.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.76% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lugano 36.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 39.97%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 23.94% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Lugano 57.39% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 4.89%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 37.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.55%
Equal 8 10.62%
Under 8 39.84%
Over 9 39.33%
Equal 9 10.22%
Under 9 50.45%
Over 10.5 30.22%
Under 10.5 69.78%

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 50.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5 65.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.27%
Under 1.5 64.73%
Over 2.5 14.3%
Under 2.5 85.7%
Over 3.5 5.05%
Under 3.5 94.95%

Score analysis

Lugano 47.41%
Draw 24.64%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 27.92%
Lugano
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 10% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 24.64%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 27.92%