Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv has a probability of 27.91% and a draw has a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win is 1-2 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result

Lugano 47.42% (-0.01)
Draw 24.64% (-0.01)
Maccabi Tel Aviv 27.91% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.59% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.41% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.52% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 39.48% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 37.72%
Under 3.5 62.28%
Over 4.5 23.24% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.76% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lugano 36.09% (+0.02)
Draw 39.97%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 23.94% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Lugano 57.39% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.89%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 37.72% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.55%
Equal 8 10.62%
Under 8 39.84%
Over 9 39.33%
Equal 9 10.22%
Under 9 50.45%
Over 10.5 30.22%
Under 10.5 69.78%

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 50.79% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.21% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.72% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.28% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.52% (+0.01)

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5 65.93% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.07% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.27%
Under 1.5 64.73%
Over 2.5 14.3%
Under 2.5 85.7%
Over 3.5 5.05%
Under 3.5 94.95%

Score analysis

Lugano 47.41%
Draw 24.64%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 27.92%
Lugano
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 10% (-0.01)
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 24.64%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 27.92%