Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano vs NSI Runavik - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

NSI Runavik

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 58.07%. A win for NSI Runavik has a probability of 21.11% and a draw has a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest NSI Runavik win is 1-2 (5.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.15%).

Result

Lugano 58.07% (-0.39)
Draw 20.82% (+0.11)
NSI Runavik 21.11% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.3% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.93% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 18.07% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 61.92% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 38.08% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 38.82% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 61.18% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 25.5% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 74.5% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Lugano 42.62% (+0.47)
Draw 34.72% (-0.04)
NSI Runavik 22.66% (-0.42)

Team To Score First

Lugano 59.6% (+0.10)
No Goal 4.74% (-0.05)
NSI Runavik 35.66% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 61.82% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.04% (-0.02)
Under 8 28.14% (+0.02)
Over 9 51.25% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.56% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.18% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 40.98% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 59.02% (-0.02)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 58.36% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 41.64% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 32.9% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 67.1% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 14.85% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 85.15% (-0.01)

NSI Runavik Goals

Over 0.5 56.78% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 43.22% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 27.12% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 72.88% (-0.39)
Over 2.5 10.4% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 89.6% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 3.5% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.5% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Lugano 58.07%
Draw 20.81%
NSI Runavik 21.1%
Lugano
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 14.69% (-0.01)
Total : 58.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 20.81%
NSI Runavik
1-2 @ 5.27% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.95% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.34% (+0.07)
Total : 21.1%