Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Elias Pihlström 7' goal
  • Kevin Behrens 79' goal

Lugano vs NSI Runavik - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

NSI Runavik

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 58.11%. A win for NSI Runavik had a probability of 21.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest NSI Runavik win was 1-2 (5.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Lugano 58.11% (+0.04)
Draw 20.82%
NSI Runavik 21.07% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.34% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.03% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 61.95% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 38.05% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 38.86% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.14% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 25.53% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 74.47% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Lugano 42.62%
Draw 34.72%
NSI Runavik 22.66%

Team To Score First

Lugano 59.6%
No Goal 4.73% (-0.01)
NSI Runavik 35.67% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.82%
Equal 8 10.04%
Under 8 28.14%
Over 9 51.25%
Equal 9 10.56%
Under 9 38.18%
Over 10.5 40.98%
Under 10.5 59.02%

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 58.41% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 41.59% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 32.95% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 67.05% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 14.88% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 85.12% (-0.04)

NSI Runavik Goals

Over 0.5 56.77% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.23% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.12%
Under 1.5 72.88%
Over 2.5 10.39% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.61% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.5%
Under 3.5 96.5%

Score analysis

Lugano 58.11%
Draw 20.82%
NSI Runavik 21.07%
Lugano
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-0 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14%
3-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 14.72% (+0.04)
Total : 58.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.82%
NSI Runavik
1-2 @ 5.27%
0-1 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 21.07%