Conference League Gameweek 3
Nov 5, 2026 8.00pm

Lugano vs Kauno Zalgiris - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Kauno Zalgiris

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris has a probability of 28.59% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win is 0-1 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.22%).

Result

Lugano 48.31% ▼ (-1.81)
Draw 23.1% ▲ (+0.72)
Kauno Zalgiris 28.59% ▲ (+1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% ▲ (+0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.13% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 21.87% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 2.5 56.22% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 43.78% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 34.63% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 65.37% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 4.5 21.79% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 4.5 78.21% ▲ (+0.34)

First Half Winner

Lugano 32.94% ▼ (-1.40)
Draw 40.6% ▲ (+1.01)
Kauno Zalgiris 26.47% ▲ (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Lugano 50.33% ▼ (-3.43)
No Goal 5.88% ▲ (+0.34)
Kauno Zalgiris 43.79% ▲ (+3.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.69% ▲ (+7.40)
Equal 8 10.01% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 8 26.3% ▼ (-6.98)
Over 9 53.01% ▲ (+7.26)
Equal 9 10.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 9 36.31% ▼ (-7.40)
Over 10.5 42.48% ▲ (+6.60)
Under 10.5 57.52% ▼ (-6.61)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 48.57% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 1.5 51.43% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 2.5 24.07% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 2.5 75.93% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 3.5 9.98% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 90.02% ▲ (+0.57)

Kauno Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5 62.32% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 0.5 37.68% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 1.5 31.99% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 1.5 68.01% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 2.5 13.72% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 86.28% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 3.5 5.12% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 94.88% ▼ (-0.43)

Score analysis

Lugano 48.31%
Draw 23.11%
Kauno Zalgiris 28.59%
Lugano
1-0 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.38)
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.63)
Total : 48.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 23.11%
Kauno Zalgiris
0-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.63)
1-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.37)
Total : 28.59%