Swiss Super League Gameweek 12
Nov 1, 2026 3.30pm
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 1.00pm
Thun 2 - 3 Lugano
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Dereck Moncada

Basel

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 3.30pm
Basel 0 - 0 Grasshopper
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Zan Celar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Basel has a probability of 30.9% and a draw has a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.57%) and 1-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Basel win is 1-2 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.07%).

Result

Lugano 47.85% ▲ (+1.00)
Draw 21.26% ▼ (-0.12)
Basel 30.9% ▼ (-0.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.46% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 11.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 71.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 28.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 51.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 48.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 34.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 65.32% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lugano 39.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 34.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Basel 25.6% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Lugano 55.83% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 2.53%
Basel 41.64% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.09% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.03%
Under 8 26.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 52.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 9 10.65%
Under 9 36.91% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 10.5 41.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 58.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 57.06% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 1.5 42.94% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 2.5 32.08% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 2.5 67.92% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 3.5 15.84% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 3.5 84.16% ▼ (-0.46)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 68.59% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 0.5 31.41% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 1.5 42.19% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 1.5 57.81% ▲ (+0.89)
Over 2.5 20.68% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 79.32% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 3.5 8.67% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 91.33% ▲ (+0.30)

Score analysis

Lugano 47.85%
Draw 21.26%
Basel 30.9%
Lugano
2-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 14.9% ▲ (+0.47)
Total : 47.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.53%
Other @ 0.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.26%
Basel
1-2 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.29)
Total : 30.9%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League Gameweek 7
Sep 6, 2026 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT St. Jakob-Park
  • Metinho  47' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri   70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dereck Moncada 2'
  • goal Yanis Cimignani 59'
  • yellowcard Yanis Cimignani 59'
  • goal Uran Bislimi 61'
  • yellowcard Anto Grgic 72'
  • goal Ahmed Kendouci 81'
  • yellowcard Uran Bislimi 85'
  • yellowcard Elias Pihlström 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 38
May 17, 2026 3.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Kevin Behrens 10' goal
  • Kevin Behrens 36' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 46' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 52' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 56' goal
  • Mattia Bottani 59' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Kendouci 79' yellowcard
  • Elias Pihlström 80' yellowcard
  • Gjan Ajdin 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marin Soticek 30'
  • yellowcard Keigo Tsunemoto  46'
  • yellowcard Moussa Cissé 62'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Koloto 62'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri   62'
Swiss Super League
Feb 15, 2026 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Jakob-Park
  • Bénie Traoré 30' yellowcard
  • Xherdan Shaqiri   62' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Koloto 66' yellowcard
  • Marin Soticek 66' yellowcard
  • Keigo Tsunemoto  66' yellowcard
  • Moussa Cissé 88' yellowcard
  • Julien Duranville 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 15'
  • yellowcard João Carbone 46'
  • yellowcard Hicham Mahou 63'
  • yellowcard Daniel Dos Santos 63'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 64'
  • yellowcard Zachary Brault-Guillard 84'
Swiss Super League
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League
Aug 10, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 35
May 10, 2025 7.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Uran Bislimi 2' goal
  • Renato Steffen 59' yellowcard
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 64' yellowcard
  • Anto Grgic 69' goal
  • Mattia Zanotti 75' yellowcard
  • goal Albian Ajeti 4'
  • yellowcard Albian Ajeti 33'
  • redcard Albian Ajeti 42'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 48'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 51'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 57'
  • goal Leo Leroy 60'