UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 6.45pm UK

MCH Arena

Midtjylland
5 - 1
Omonia

(FC Midtjylland win 5-2 on aggregate)

Kyu-Sung (27' pen.), Gluda Dju (43', 45+3', 64'), Gigovic (80')
Simsir (34'), Olsson (52'), Martinez (77')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kakoullis (31')
Matthews (17'), Kakoullis (24'), Bachirou (25'), Bezus (34'), Ansarifard (76'), Simic (90+2')
Kousoulos (24')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Midtjylland and Omonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Vejle 1-2 Midtjylland
Sunday, August 13 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Omonia

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Omonia 1-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Nordsjaelland	15	3.75	Nuamah
2	Copenhagen	11	2.75	Goncalves
3	Brondby	7	1.75	Vallys
4	Lyngby Boldklub	7	1.75	Finnbogason
5	Aarhus	6	1.50	Mortensen
6	Midtjylland	6	1.50	Kyu-Sung
7	Odense	6	1.50	Kadrii
8	Silkeborg	5	1.25	Rasmussen
9	Viborg	5	1.25	Ementa
10	Randers	4	1.00	Andersson
11	Vejle	4	1.00	Onugkha
12	Hvidovre	2	0.50	Jakobsen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Omonia win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC Midtjylland	Draw	Omonia
65.88% ( 0.13)	20.18% ( 0.13)	13.94% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 48.16% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99% (

-1.08)

46.01% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69% (

-1.03)

68.32% (

1.04)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.89% (

-0.29)

13.11% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

-0.6)

39.76% (

0.6)

Omonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.43% (

-1.04)

44.58% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.41% (

-0.85)

80.59% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

FC Midtjylland 65.88%

Omonia 13.94%

Draw 20.18%

FC Midtjylland	Draw	Omonia
2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.87% Total : 65.88%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.18%	0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.94%