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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
| 71.48% | 17.2% | 11.33% |
| Both teams to score 50.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% | 38.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% | 61.25% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.37% | 9.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.83% | 32.16% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.74% | 44.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.66% | 80.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
| 2-0 @ 11.67% 1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-0 @ 5.33% 4-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.03% 5-0 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.77% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.81% Total : 71.47% | 1-1 @ 8.13% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.93% Total : 17.2% | 0-1 @ 3.47% 1-2 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.07% Total : 11.33% |