Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Intility Arena

Valerenga
0 - 2
Sarpsborg

FT(HT: 0-0)
Fardal Opseth (60', 81')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Valerenga Fotball and Sarpsborg 08.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aalesund 0-1 Valerenga
Monday, April 10 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 0-2 Bodo/Glimt
Monday, April 10 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Valerenga FotballDrawSarpsborg 08
50.67% (0.80399999999999 0.8)22.69% (-0.11 -0.11)26.63% (-0.7 -0.7)
Both teams to score 61.11% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (-0.061 -0.06)39.18% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)61.5% (0.055 0.05)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (0.25699999999999 0.26)15.66% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3% (0.481 0.48)44.69% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)27.54% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.686 -0.69)63.05% (0.678 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Valerenga Fotball 50.67%
    Sarpsborg 08 26.63%
    Draw 22.69%
Valerenga FotballDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 8% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.81%
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 50.67%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.63%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5pm
Valerenga
3-3
Sarpsborg
Eggen Hedenstad (19', 66'), Layouni (45+2')
Christensen (25')
Tibbling (4'), Maigaard (17'), Molins (68')
Jul 17, 2022 5pm
Oct 28, 2021 7pm
Sarpsborg
2-1
Valerenga
Lindseth (81'), Muhammed (90+6')
Thomassen (33')
Jul 1, 2021 7pm
Valerenga
4-1
Sarpsborg
Udahl (43', 65'), Borchgrevink (70'), Thiago Holm (75')
Tollas (67')
Nasberg (80' og.)
Thomassen (18'), Naess (67')
Nov 29, 2020 7pm
Valerenga
1-1
Sarpsborg
Nasberg (90+6')
Jorgen Halvorsen (19')
Ofkir (90+2')