Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 21

Sep 4, 2022 at 7pm UK

Ullevaal Stadion

Valerenga
3 - 1
Lillestrom

Sahraoui (22', 71'), Borven (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Garnas (51')
Garnas (14'), Rosler (70')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Valerenga Fotball and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.

Result
Valerenga Fotball	Draw	Lillestrom
48.53% ( 0.2)	23.56% ( -0.04)	27.9% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 59.13% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73% (

0.07)

42.27% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.32% (

0.06)

64.68% (

-0.06)

Valerenga Fotball Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.41% (

0.1)

17.59% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.84% (

0.18)

48.16% (

-0.18)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.08)

28.24% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-0.1)

63.95% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Valerenga Fotball 48.53%

Lillestrom 27.9%

Draw 23.56%

Valerenga Fotball	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.53%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.9%