Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.