Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tromso IL in this match.