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DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
Apr 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion

Saarbrucken
0 - 2
Kaiserslautern


Sontheimer (35'), Gaus (50'), Zeitz (62'), Brunker (77'), Di Michele Sanchez (77'), Uaferro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ritter (53'), Toure (75')
Tomiak (37'), Niehues (77'), Toure (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Saarbrucken and Kaiserslautern, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saarbrucken

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.30pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Kaiserslautern

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 1-3 Dusseldorf
Saturday, March 30 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Saarbrucken 1-2 Kaiserslautern

 While the fairytale has been a magical one, Saarbrucken's lower stature makes them slight outsiders for this one, despite home advantage. Kaiserslautern are showing no real form in the league but have pulled big performances out of the bag in the cup, and their undoubted higher quality on paper may shine through here to see them reach an eighth Pokal final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Saarbrucken win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
SaarbruckenDrawKaiserslautern
30.01% (-0.138 -0.14) 23.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 46.36% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 60.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (-0.125 -0.13)41.23% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (-0.126 -0.13)63.63% (0.122 0.12)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (-0.152 -0.15)26.28% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (-0.201 -0.2)61.4% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)48.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 30.01%
    Kaiserslautern 46.36%
    Draw 23.63%
SaarbruckenDrawKaiserslautern
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.01%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.3% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.36%

How you voted: Saarbrucken vs Kaiserslautern

Saarbrucken
47.0%
Draw
18.2%
Kaiserslautern
34.8%
66
rhs 2.0
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