Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Saarbrucken win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.