DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Waldstadion Homburg
Greuther Furth

FC 08 Homburg
2 - 1
Greuther Furth

Eisele (31'), Harres (83')
Jansen (8'), Hummel (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hrgota (52')
Dietz (62'), Lemperle (90+2')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between FC 08 Homburg and Greuther Furth.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: FC 08 Homburg 3-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Monday, August 14 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest FC 08 Homburg win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
FC 08 HomburgDrawGreuther Furth
25.69% (0.108 0.11)22.37% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)51.94% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.53% (0.073 0.07)38.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24% (0.077000000000005 0.08)60.75% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
FC 08 Homburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.121 0.12)27.86% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.154 0.15)63.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)14.96% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.61% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)43.39% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC 08 Homburg 25.69%
    Greuther Furth 51.94%
    Draw 22.37%
FC 08 HomburgDrawGreuther Furth
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 51.94%

How you voted: FC 08 Homburg vs Greuther Furth

FC 08 Homburg
21.7%
Draw
17.4%
Greuther Furth
60.9%
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