Danish Superliga | Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vejlby Stadion

Aarhus
1 - 3
Randers

Mortensen (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dammers (24'), Odey (47'), Campbell (64')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Randers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 3-1 Aarhus
Sunday, May 4 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Randers 3-2 Nordsjaelland
Friday, May 2 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Randers had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Randers win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawRanders
50.31% (0.413 0.41)23.94% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.74% (-0.373 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.93% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.119 -0.12)45.63% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)67.96% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.113 0.11)18.19% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (0.195 0.2)49.19% (-0.199 -0.2)
Randers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)31.63% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (-0.415 -0.42)68.04% (0.411 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 50.31%
    Randers 25.74%
    Draw 23.94%
AarhusDrawRanders
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 25.74%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 4
Randers
3-1
Aarhus
Bolkan Nordli (30' pen.), Dammers (46'), Toure (55')
Mortensen (87')
Mortensen (79')
Feb 28, 2025 6pm
Gameweek 20
Randers
1-1
Aarhus
Greve (33')
Danho (15'), Bolkan Nordli (44'), Toure (64')
Mortensen (18')
Molgaard (63')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Aarhus
2-2
Randers
Bech (25'), Emil Madsen (79')
Anderson (63'), Bech (74'), Beijmo (90+2'), Andersen (90+9')
Bjorkengren (44'), Danho (61')
Danho (4'), Olsen (24'), Campbell (68'), Dammers (74'), Romer (90+5'), Bolkan Nordli (90+9')
Oct 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Aarhus
2-1
Randers
Serra (27'), Bech (85')
Molgaard (34'), Knudsen (66'), Poulsen (77'), Brandhof (90+9')
Brandhof (90+9')
Kristensen (35' pen.)
Pedersen (89')
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Randers
1-1
Aarhus
Odey (34')
Olsen (24'), Knoester (37'), Enggard (90+1')
Mortensen (89' pen.)
Links (29'), Knoester (58')