Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.