Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC Midtjylland	Draw	Aarhus
49.37% ( -0.3)	22.89% ( 0.32)	27.74% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.39% (

-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76% (

-1.52)

39.24% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

-1.61)

61.57% (

1.61)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

-0.66)

16.14% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.42% (

-1.23)

45.58% (

1.23)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

-0.8)

26.79% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

-1.06)

62.08% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

FC Midtjylland 49.37%

Aarhus 27.74%

Draw 22.88%

FC Midtjylland	Draw	Aarhus
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.37%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.74%