Danish Superliga | Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vejlby Stadion
Midtjylland

Aarhus
1 - 1
Midtjylland

Mortensen (49')
Bach (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gogorza (51')
Silva (79'), Castillo (80'), Buksa (90+6')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and FC Midtjylland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

All competitions
Last Game: Brondby 2-1 Aarhus
Monday, April 7 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Last Game: Randers 2-1 Midtjylland
Friday, April 4 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawFC Midtjylland
47.06% (0.179 0.18)24.46% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)28.47% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 56.48% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (0.13999999999999 0.14)45.95% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.73% (0.132 0.13)68.26% (-0.134 -0.13)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (0.13000000000001 0.13)19.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.42% (0.212 0.21)51.57% (-0.213 -0.21)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)29.72% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)65.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 47.06%
    FC Midtjylland 28.47%
    Draw 24.46%
AarhusDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 28.47%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 13
Midtjylland
2-0
Aarhus
Mbabu (34'), Franculino (90')
Mbabu (86'), Franculino (90+1')

Links (50')
Jul 19, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 1
Aarhus
1-1
Midtjylland
Bech (8')
Anderson (35'), Rosler (36'), Andersen (89'), Andersen (90+9')
Buksa (47')
> Preview
May 12, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 7
Midtjylland
2-1
Aarhus
Kyu-Sung (24'), Bech Sorensen (32')
Martinez (45'), Byskov (90+1')
Anker (45+1')
Brandhof (55')
Apr 7, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 2
Aarhus
0-1
Midtjylland

Kahl (39'), Andersen (73'), Duelund (90+8')
Anker (84')
Osorio (21' pen.)
Osorio (33'), Romer (57'), Ingi Ingason (85'), Simsir (90+8')
Feb 25, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 19
Aarhus
2-3
Midtjylland
Mortensen (9' pen., 76' pen.)
Brandhof (47'), Kahl (55')
Kyu-Sung (45+4' pen.), Han-Beom (48'), Charles (90+6')
Ingi Ingason (7'), Paulinho (33'), Sorensen (88'), Charles (90+7'), Thomasberg (90+11'), Kyu-Sung (90+11')
Paulinho (49'), Ingi Ingason (75')